Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Manchester Utd

Premier League
Rating+0.85
In league+0.15vs league average
Attack+0.47
Defence+0.38
Global rank12of 132 · ▼2 this week
League rank6of 20
Games priced162

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Manchester Utd’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Manchester Utd moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos9.7
Title–
Top 45%
Relegation1%
Played8
Points7
Goals10–13-3
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Premier LeagueHBournemouth0–3L
10-21UEFA Champions LeagueAComo4–1L
10-18Premier LeagueALeeds1–1D
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueAAtletico Madrid2–0L
10-10Premier LeagueHTottenham1–1D
09-20Premier LeagueAFulham1–1D
09-13Premier LeagueHManchester City0–1L
09-10UEFA Champions LeagueHSabah FKnot priced yet4–0W
09-06Premier LeagueAEverton2–2D
08-30Premier LeagueHIpswich5–2W
08-22Premier LeagueAHull2–0L
05-24Premier LeagueABrighton0–3W
05-17Premier LeagueHNottingham Forest3–2W
05-09Premier LeagueASunderland0–0D
05-03Premier LeagueHLiverpool3–2W

Latest 15 of 40 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueAChelsea+1.01
11-03UEFA Champions LeagueHRoma+0.72
11-08Premier LeagueHAston Villa+0.70
11-22Premier LeagueALiverpool+1.09
11-28Premier LeagueHBrentford+0.78
12-02Premier LeagueANewcastle+0.68
12-05Premier LeagueHCoventry+0.20

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-18 InjuryLisandro Martínez — Lisandro Martínez was substituted at half-time after suffering a thigh injury against Leeds United.
09-27 InjuryPatrick Dorgu — Patrick Dorgu suffered a hamstring injury while playing for Denmark.
09-25 InjuryBenjamin Šeško — Benjamin Šeško withdrew from the Slovenia national squad due to an injury.
08-25 Transfer inCarlos Baleba — Manchester United have signed midfielder Carlos Baleba from Brighton on a five-year contract.
08-23 learnedInjuryAmad Diallo — Amad Diallo suffered an ankle injury in training and was sidelined for up to six weeks.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.