Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Newcastle

Premier League
Rating+0.69
In league+0.02vs league average
Attack+0.39
Defence+0.30
Global rank18of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank8of 20
Games priced159

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.0+0.21 Feb30 May12 SepDWDLWDWLLLLWWLLWL
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos9.0
Title
Top 47%
Relegation1%
Played3
Points5
Goals6–4+2
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05Premier LeagueHBournemouth2–2D
08-29Premier LeagueATottenham0–2W
08-23Premier LeagueHLiverpool2–2D
05-24Premier LeagueAFulham2–0L
05-17Premier LeagueHWest Ham3–1W
05-10Premier LeagueANottingham Forest1–1D
05-02Premier LeagueHBrighton3–1W
04-25Premier LeagueAArsenal1–0L
04-18Premier LeagueHBournemouth1–2L
04-12Premier LeagueACrystal Palace2–1L
03-22Premier LeagueHSunderland1–2L
03-14Premier LeagueAChelsea0–1W
03-04Premier LeagueHManchester Utd2–1W
02-28Premier LeagueHEverton2–3L
02-21Premier LeagueAManchester City2–1L

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-14Premier LeagueALeeds+0.54
09-19Premier LeagueHHull-0.07
10-12Premier LeagueACoventry+0.21
10-17Premier LeagueHAston Villa+0.66
10-25Premier LeagueACrystal Palace+0.50

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
08-23 learnedInjuryDan Burn — Dan Burn was sidelined with an ankle injury.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

← All clubs · Global ladder

The market knows first. Now so do you.

Betting markets are the most accurate predictor in football. We distill them into team ratings and email you who’s climbing and who’s quietly falling.

Powered by Buttondown.