Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Nottingham Forest

Premier League
Rating+0.56
In league-0.14vs league average
Attack+0.22
Defence+0.34
Global rank28of 132
League rank14of 20
Games priced165

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Nottingham Forest’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Nottingham Forest moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos14.2
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation17%
Played8
Points6
Goals6–10-4
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-23Premier LeagueAIpswich1–1D
10-18Premier LeagueHArsenal0–1L
10-11Premier LeagueACrystal Palace3–1L
09-19Premier LeagueHCoventry0–1L
09-12Premier LeagueAAston Villa1–2W
09-05Premier LeagueHTottenham0–0D
08-29Premier LeagueALiverpool2–2D
08-22Premier LeagueHLeeds0–1L
05-24Premier LeagueHBournemouth1–1D
05-17Premier LeagueAManchester Utd3–2L
05-10Premier LeagueHNewcastle1–1D
05-07UEFA Europa LeagueAAston Villa4–0L
05-04Premier LeagueAChelsea1–3W
04-30UEFA Europa LeagueHAston Villa1–0W
04-24Premier LeagueASunderland0–5W

Latest 15 of 50 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueABrentford+0.78
11-07Premier LeagueHManchester City+1.37
11-21Premier LeagueABournemouth+0.76
11-27Premier LeagueHChelsea+1.01
12-02Premier LeagueAHull-0.01
12-05Premier LeagueHBrighton+0.90

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-18 InjuryMorgan Gibbs-White — Morgan Gibbs-White was ruled out of the match against Arsenal due to a muscular injury.
08-27 Transfer inLiam Delap — Nottingham Forest signed Liam Delap from Chelsea.
08-26 Transfer outEric da Silva Moreira — Nottingham Forest loaned winger Eric da Silva Moreira to Excelsior.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.