Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Leeds

Premier League
Rating+0.54
In league-0.13vs league average
Attack+0.22
Defence+0.32
Global rank28of 132 · ▲4 this week
League rank12of 20
Games priced79

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.2+0.01 Feb30 May12 SepDDWLWDWDWWDDLLDDW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos11.5
Title
Top 42%
Relegation5%
Played3
Points5
Goals3–2+1
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05Premier LeagueABrighton1–1D
08-30Premier LeagueHBrentford1–1D
08-22Premier LeagueANottingham Forest0–1W
05-24Premier LeagueAWest Ham3–0L
05-17Premier LeagueHBrighton1–0W
05-11Premier LeagueATottenham1–1D
05-01Premier LeagueHBurnley3–1W
04-22Premier LeagueABournemouth2–2D
04-18Premier LeagueHWolves3–0W
04-13Premier LeagueAManchester Utd1–2W
03-21Premier LeagueHBrentford0–0D
03-15Premier LeagueACrystal Palace0–0D
03-03Premier LeagueHSunderland0–1L
02-28Premier LeagueHManchester City0–1L
02-21Premier LeagueAAston Villa1–1D

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-14Premier LeagueHNewcastle+0.69
09-20Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace+0.50
10-10Premier LeagueAArsenal+1.49
10-18Premier LeagueHManchester Utd+0.97
10-25Premier LeagueASunderland+0.38

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 InjuryJoe Rodon — Joe Rodon was ruled out for eight to ten weeks with a hamstring injury.
09-01 Transfer inJean-Mattéo Bahoya — Jean-Mattéo Bahoya joined Leeds on loan from Eintracht Frankfurt.
09-01 Transfer inMelvin Bard — Melvin Bard transferred from Lens to Leeds.
08-29 Transfer inMichael Zetterer — Leeds United complete the permanent signing of goalkeeper Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt.
08-20 InjuryWilfried Gnonto — Wilfried Gnonto is ruled out with an injury.
08-20 InjuryAlbert Guðmundsson — Albert Guðmundsson is ruled out with an injury.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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