Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Leeds

Premier League
Rating+0.64
In league-0.06vs league average
Attack+0.26
Defence+0.39
Global rank25of 132 · ▼2 this week
League rank12of 20
Games priced84

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Leeds’ moves every week.

One email a week: where Leeds moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos10.4
Title–
Top 43%
Relegation2%
Played8
Points11
Goals9–6+3
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Premier LeagueASunderland0–0D
10-18Premier LeagueHManchester Utd1–1D
10-10Premier LeagueAArsenal2–1L
09-20Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace0–0D
09-14Premier LeagueHNewcastle4–1W
09-05Premier LeagueABrighton1–1D
08-30Premier LeagueHBrentford1–1D
08-22Premier LeagueANottingham Forest0–1W
05-24Premier LeagueAWest Ham3–0L
05-17Premier LeagueHBrighton1–0W
05-11Premier LeagueATottenham1–1D
05-01Premier LeagueHBurnley3–1W
04-22Premier LeagueABournemouth2–2D
04-18Premier LeagueHWolves3–0W
04-13Premier LeagueAManchester Utd1–2W

Latest 15 of 37 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueABournemouth+0.76
11-07Premier LeagueHTottenham+0.75
11-21Premier LeagueAChelsea+1.01
11-28Premier LeagueHCoventry+0.20
12-02Premier LeagueAManchester City+1.37
12-05Premier LeagueHIpswich+0.24

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 InjuryJoe Rodon — Joe Rodon was ruled out for eight to ten weeks with a hamstring injury.
09-01 Transfer inJean-Mattéo Bahoya — Jean-Mattéo Bahoya joined Leeds on loan from Eintracht Frankfurt.
09-01 Transfer inMelvin Bard — Melvin Bard transferred from Lens to Leeds.
08-29 Transfer inMichael Zetterer — Leeds United complete the permanent signing of goalkeeper Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt.
08-20 InjuryWilfried Gnonto — Wilfried Gnonto is ruled out with an injury.
08-20 InjuryAlbert Guðmundsson — Albert Guðmundsson is ruled out with an injury.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.