Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Who will be relegated from the Eredivisie this season?
Where each club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings; darker is more likely. Releg is the share of simulated seasons the club finishes in a relegation place. Clubs in danger folds those shares into one number, no lower than the number of places. Experimental — see the methodology.

As of 6 November 2026, the Eredivisie relegation race has 4.8 effective clubs in danger, down 0.1 this week. Willem II is the most likely to be relegated from the Eredivisie at 96%, ahead of Den Haag (38%) and Telstar (22%).

#TeamRatingxPos15101518TitleTop 4Rel
1Feyenoord+0.722.236%95%–
2PSV Eindhoven+0.732.334%94%–
3Ajax+0.633.016%86%–
4Twente+0.593.311%80%–
5AZ Alkmaar+0.494.42%42%–
6Heerenveen+0.047.3–2%–
7Groningen+0.048.2–1%–
8Nijmegen+0.119.7––1%
9Utrecht-0.039.9––1%
10Go Ahead Eagles-0.0510.0––1%
11For Sittard-0.3910.2––1%
12Sparta Rotterdam-0.2312.2––5%
13Excelsior-0.2712.9––8%
14Cambuur-0.4913.7––11%
15Zwolle-0.4114.1––17%
16Telstar-0.3914.5––22%
17Den Haag-0.3615.4––38%
18Willem II-0.7117.8––96%

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