Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market

ratings as of 2026-09-21 · last rebuilt 2026-09-21 05:45 UTC

Who will win the Eredivisie this season?
Where each club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings; darker is more likely. Title is the share of simulated seasons the club finishes first. Experimental — see the methodology.

As of 21 September 2026, PSV Eindhoven is the most likely Eredivisie champion at 59%, ahead of Feyenoord (21%) and Twente (8%).

#	Team	Rating	xPos	1				5					10					15			18	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	PSV Eindhoven	+0.79	1.7																			59%	98%	–
2	Feyenoord	+0.66	2.7																			21%	90%	–
3	Twente	+0.57	3.5																			8%	75%	–
4	AZ Alkmaar	+0.45	3.7																			7%	67%	–
5	Ajax	+0.59	3.8																			6%	67%	–
6	Groningen	+0.05	7.9																			–	2%	–
7	Nijmegen	+0.18	8.3																			–	1%	–
8	Heerenveen	+0.03	8.7																			–	1%	–
9	Go Ahead Eagles	-0.11	9.6																			–	–	–
10	Utrecht	-0.00	10.1																			–	–	1%
11	Excelsior	-0.23	10.5																			–	–	1%
12	For Sittard	-0.40	11.7																			–	–	2%
13	Sparta Rotterdam	-0.17	12.4																			–	–	4%
14	Telstar	-0.33	13.7																			–	–	10%
15	Zwolle	-0.35	13.9																			–	–	12%
16	Den Haag	-0.38	15.2																			–	–	29%
17	Cambuur	-0.64	16.4																			–	–	59%
18	Willem II	-0.70	17.3																			–	–	82%