Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Who is the strongest team in the Premier League?
Rating = attack + defence on the global scale, from closing betting-market prices; higher is stronger. Trend is the club against the league's average.

As of 6 November 2026, the market rates Arsenal the strongest side in the Premier League, ahead of Manchester City and Liverpool.

#TeamAttDefRatingTrend
1Arsenal+0.65+0.84+1.49
2Manchester City+0.75+0.61+1.36
3Liverpool+0.61+0.49+1.10
4Chelsea+0.54+0.44+0.97
5Brighton+0.47+0.43+0.90
6Manchester Utd+0.48+0.38+0.86
7Brentford+0.43+0.35+0.77
8Tottenham+0.39+0.37+0.75
9Bournemouth+0.38+0.37+0.75
10Aston Villa+0.37+0.33+0.70
11Newcastle+0.39+0.27+0.66
12Leeds+0.25+0.38+0.63
13Nottingham Forest+0.24+0.34+0.58
14Everton+0.24+0.33+0.58
15Fulham+0.27+0.29+0.56
16Sunderland+0.13+0.35+0.48
17Crystal Palace+0.19+0.21+0.40
18Ipswich+0.12+0.11+0.23
19Coventry+0.11+0.09+0.20
20Hull-0.08+0.05-0.03

Get Premier League moves every week.

One email a week: who moved on the Premier League ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.