Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Is the Premier League stronger than the Eredivisie?
Level is the average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale (attack + defence, from closing betting-market prices). The goal ratio is what the gap means on the pitch: goals an average club of the stronger league scores for each one it concedes to an average club of the other, on neutral ground. The record is every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between the two leagues' clubs — their best sides, over seasons the ratings have moved past, so it is history, not the measurement.

As of 28 October 2026, the Premier League is stronger than the Eredivisie: an average Premier League club would score 3.20 goals for every one it concedes against an average Eredivisie club on neutral ground. In European competition since 2022-23, Premier League clubs have won 20, drawn 5 and lost 5 of 30 meetings with Eredivisie clubs.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#LeagueLevel
1Premier League20 clubs+0.70
7Eredivisie18 clubs-0.46

Premier League vs Eredivisie in Europe
Every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between Premier League and Eredivisie clubs since 2022-23, counted from the Premier League side. Each club is placed in the league it played in that season. Euro clubs are each league's best, not its average, so this is history beside the rating, not part of it.

SeasonPWDLGFGAGD
2026-27110010+1
2025-267502179+8
2024-2583321912+7
2023-248620193+16
2022-23650194+5
All3020556528+37

Meetings

DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa LeagueSunderland1–0AZ AlkmaarW
21 Jan 2026UEFA Champions LeagueNewcastle3–0PSV EindhovenW
11 Dec 2025UEFA Europa LeagueUtrecht1–2Nottingham ForestW
26 Nov 2025UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool1–4PSV EindhovenL
6 Nov 2025UEFA Europa Conference LeagueCrystal Palace3–1AZ AlkmaarW
23 Oct 2025UEFA Europa LeagueGo Ahead Eagles2–1Aston VillaL
22 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueChelsea5–1AjaxW
2 Oct 2025UEFA Europa LeagueFeyenoord0–2Aston VillaW
13 Mar 2025UEFA Europa LeagueTottenham3–1AZ AlkmaarW
12 Mar 2025UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal2–2PSV EindhovenD
6 Mar 2025UEFA Europa LeagueAZ Alkmaar1–0TottenhamL
4 Mar 2025UEFA Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven1–7ArsenalW
29 Jan 2025UEFA Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven3–2LiverpoolL
26 Nov 2024UEFA Champions LeagueManchester City3–3FeyenoordD
24 Oct 2024UEFA Europa LeagueTottenham1–0AZ AlkmaarW
15 earlier meetings
DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
25 Sep 2024UEFA Europa LeagueManchester Utd1–1TwenteD
14 Mar 2024UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAston Villa4–0AjaxW
7 Mar 2024UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAjax0–0Aston VillaD
12 Dec 2023UEFA Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven1–1ArsenalD
9 Nov 2023UEFA Europa LeagueAjax0–2BrightonW
9 Nov 2023UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAston Villa2–1AZ AlkmaarW
26 Oct 2023UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAZ Alkmaar1–4Aston VillaW
26 Oct 2023UEFA Europa LeagueBrighton2–0AjaxW
20 Sep 2023UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal4–0PSV EindhovenW
18 May 2023UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAZ Alkmaar0–1West HamW
11 May 2023UEFA Europa Conference LeagueWest Ham2–1AZ AlkmaarW
27 Oct 2022UEFA Europa LeaguePSV Eindhoven2–0ArsenalL
26 Oct 2022UEFA Champions LeagueAjax0–3LiverpoolW
20 Oct 2022UEFA Europa LeagueArsenal1–0PSV EindhovenW
13 Sep 2022UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool2–1AjaxW

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