Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Is the Premier League stronger than the Primeira Liga?
Level is the average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale (attack + defence, from closing betting-market prices). The goal ratio is what the gap means on the pitch: goals an average club of the stronger league scores for each one it concedes to an average club of the other, on neutral ground. The record is every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between the two leagues' clubs — their best sides, over seasons the ratings have moved past, so it is history, not the measurement.

As of 28 October 2026, the Premier League is stronger than the Primeira Liga: an average Premier League club would score 3.08 goals for every one it concedes against an average Primeira Liga club on neutral ground. In European competition since 2022-23, Premier League clubs have won 8, drawn 6 and lost 4 of 18 meetings with Primeira Liga clubs.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#LeagueLevel
1Premier League20 clubs+0.70
6Primeira Liga18 clubs-0.42

Premier League vs Primeira Liga in Europe
Every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between Premier League and Primeira Liga clubs since 2022-23, counted from the Premier League side. Each club is placed in the league it played in that season. Euro clubs are each league's best, not its average, so this is history beside the rating, not part of it.

SeasonPWDLGFGAGD
2026-27110020+2
2025-26852192+7
2024-25311198+1
2023-242101110
2022-23403146-2
All188642517+8

Meetings

DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
8 Sep 2026UEFA Champions LeaguePorto0–2Manchester CityW
16 Apr 2026UEFA Europa LeagueNottingham Forest1–0PortoW
15 Apr 2026UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal0–0Sp LisbonD
9 Apr 2026UEFA Europa LeaguePorto1–1Nottingham ForestD
7 Apr 2026UEFA Champions LeagueSp Lisbon0–1ArsenalW
22 Jan 2026UEFA Europa LeagueSp Braga1–0Nottingham ForestL
23 Oct 2025UEFA Europa LeagueNottingham Forest2–0PortoW
21 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueNewcastle3–0BenficaW
30 Sep 2025UEFA Champions LeagueChelsea1–0BenficaW
26 Nov 2024UEFA Champions LeagueSp Lisbon1–5ArsenalW
5 Nov 2024UEFA Champions LeagueSp Lisbon4–1Manchester CityL
3 Oct 2024UEFA Europa LeaguePorto3–3Manchester UtdD
12 Mar 2024UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal1–0PortoW
21 Feb 2024UEFA Champions LeaguePorto1–0ArsenalL
16 Mar 2023UEFA Europa LeagueArsenal1–1Sp LisbonD
3 earlier meetings
DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
9 Mar 2023UEFA Europa LeagueSp Lisbon2–2ArsenalD
26 Oct 2022UEFA Champions LeagueTottenham1–1Sp LisbonD
13 Sep 2022UEFA Champions LeagueSp Lisbon2–0TottenhamL

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