Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Is the Premier League stronger than Ligue 1?
Level is the average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale (attack + defence, from closing betting-market prices). The goal ratio is what the gap means on the pitch: goals an average club of the stronger league scores for each one it concedes to an average club of the other, on neutral ground. The record is every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between the two leagues' clubs — their best sides, over seasons the ratings have moved past, so it is history, not the measurement.

As of 28 October 2026, the Premier League is stronger than Ligue 1: an average Premier League club would score 1.91 goals for every one it concedes against an average Ligue 1 club on neutral ground. In European competition since 2022-23, Premier League clubs have won 17, drawn 7 and lost 18 of 42 meetings with Ligue 1 clubs.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#LeagueLevel
1Premier League20 clubs+0.70
5Ligue 118 clubs+0.06

Premier League vs Ligue 1 in Europe
Every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between Premier League and Ligue 1 clubs since 2022-23, counted from the Premier League side. Each club is placed in the league it played in that season. Euro clubs are each league's best, not its average, so this is history beside the rating, not part of it.

SeasonPWDLGFGAGD
2026-273102770
2025-26143471725-8
2024-25136162221+1
2023-24105232513+12
2022-23220041+3
All42177187567+8

Meetings

DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa LeagueLyon3–2Crystal PalaceL
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions LeagueManchester City2–4Paris SGL
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal3–0LilleW
30 May 2026UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG1–1ArsenalD
14 Apr 2026UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool0–2Paris SGL
8 Apr 2026UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG2–0LiverpoolL
19 Mar 2026UEFA Europa LeagueAston Villa2–0LilleW
17 Mar 2026UEFA Champions LeagueChelsea0–3Paris SGL
12 Mar 2026UEFA Europa LeagueLille0–1Aston VillaW
11 Mar 2026UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG5–2ChelseaL
28 Jan 2026UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG1–1NewcastleD
21 Jan 2026UEFA Champions LeagueMarseille0–3LiverpoolW
27 Nov 2025UEFA Europa Conference LeagueStrasbourg2–1Crystal PalaceL
26 Nov 2025UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG5–3TottenhamL
25 Nov 2025UEFA Champions LeagueMarseille2–1NewcastleL
27 earlier meetings
DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
22 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueMonaco0–0TottenhamD
1 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueMonaco2–2Manchester CityD
7 May 2025UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG2–1ArsenalL
29 Apr 2025UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal0–1Paris SGL
17 Apr 2025UEFA Europa LeagueManchester Utd5–4LyonW
15 Apr 2025UEFA Champions LeagueAston Villa3–2Paris SGW
10 Apr 2025UEFA Europa LeagueLyon2–2Manchester UtdD
9 Apr 2025UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG3–1Aston VillaL
11 Mar 2025UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool0–1Paris SGL
5 Mar 2025UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG0–1LiverpoolW
22 Jan 2025UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG4–2Manchester CityL
21 Jan 2025UEFA Champions LeagueMonaco1–0Aston VillaL
21 Jan 2025UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool2–1LilleW
11 Dec 2024UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal3–0MonacoW
1 Oct 2024UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal2–0Paris SGW
18 Apr 2024UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLille2–1Aston VillaL
11 Apr 2024UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAston Villa2–1LilleW
14 Dec 2023UEFA Europa LeagueBrighton1–0MarseilleW
29 Nov 2023UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal6–0LensW
28 Nov 2023UEFA Champions LeagueParis SG1–1NewcastleD
9 Nov 2023UEFA Europa LeagueToulouse3–2LiverpoolL
26 Oct 2023UEFA Europa LeagueLiverpool5–1ToulouseW
5 Oct 2023UEFA Europa LeagueMarseille2–2BrightonD
4 Oct 2023UEFA Champions LeagueNewcastle4–1Paris SGW
3 Oct 2023UEFA Champions LeagueLens2–1ArsenalL
1 Nov 2022UEFA Champions LeagueMarseille1–2TottenhamW
7 Sep 2022UEFA Champions LeagueTottenham2–0MarseilleW

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