Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Is La Liga stronger than Serie A?
Level is the average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale (attack + defence, from closing betting-market prices). The goal ratio is what the gap means on the pitch: goals an average club of the stronger league scores for each one it concedes to an average club of the other, on neutral ground. The record is every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between the two leagues' clubs — their best sides, over seasons the ratings have moved past, so it is history, not the measurement.

As of 28 October 2026, La Liga is stronger than Serie A: an average La Liga club would score 1.18 goals for every one it concedes against an average Serie A club on neutral ground. In European competition since 2022-23, La Liga clubs have won 16, drawn 14 and lost 10 of 40 meetings with Serie A clubs.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#LeagueLevel
2La Liga20 clubs+0.33
4Serie A20 clubs+0.16

La Liga vs Serie A in Europe
Every Champions League, Europa League and Conference League meeting between La Liga and Serie A clubs since 2022-23, counted from the La Liga side. Each club is placed in the league it played in that season. Euro clubs are each league's best, not its average, so this is history beside the rating, not part of it.

SeasonPWDLGFGAGD
2026-274301107+3
2025-26531197+2
2024-25123452225-3
2023-24105411710+7
2022-2392521011-1
All401614106860+8

Meetings

DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa LeagueCelta Vigo1–2JuventusL
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions LeagueRoma3–4Real MadridW
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions LeagueVillarreal3–1NapoliW
8 Sep 2026UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid2–1InterW
21 Jan 2026UEFA Champions LeagueAtalanta2–3Athletic BilbaoW
11 Dec 2025UEFA Europa LeagueCelta Vigo1–2BolognaL
26 Nov 2025UEFA Champions LeagueAtletico Madrid2–1InterW
22 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid1–0JuventusW
1 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueVillarreal2–2JuventusD
8 May 2025UEFA Europa Conference LeagueFiorentina2–2Real BetisD
6 May 2025UEFA Champions LeagueInter4–3BarcelonaL
1 May 2025UEFA Europa Conference LeagueReal Betis2–1FiorentinaW
30 Apr 2025UEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona3–3InterD
13 Mar 2025UEFA Europa LeagueAthletic Bilbao3–1RomaW
6 Mar 2025UEFA Europa LeagueRoma2–1Athletic BilbaoL
25 earlier meetings
DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
29 Jan 2025UEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona2–2AtalantaD
23 Jan 2025UEFA Europa LeagueLazio3–1Real SociedadL
22 Jan 2025UEFA Champions LeagueAC Milan1–0GironaL
10 Dec 2024UEFA Champions LeagueAtalanta2–3Real MadridW
5 Nov 2024UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid1–3AC MilanL
26 Sep 2024UEFA Europa LeagueRoma1–1Athletic BilbaoD
13 Mar 2024UEFA Champions LeagueAtletico Madrid2–1InterW
12 Mar 2024UEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona3–1NapoliW
21 Feb 2024UEFA Champions LeagueNapoli1–1BarcelonaD
20 Feb 2024UEFA Champions LeagueInter1–0Atletico MadridL
13 Dec 2023UEFA Champions LeagueAtletico Madrid2–0LazioW
12 Dec 2023UEFA Champions LeagueInter0–0Real SociedadD
29 Nov 2023UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid4–2NapoliW
3 Oct 2023UEFA Champions LeagueNapoli2–3Real MadridW
20 Sep 2023UEFA Champions LeagueReal Sociedad1–1InterD
19 Sep 2023UEFA Champions LeagueLazio1–1Atletico MadridD
31 May 2023UEFA Europa LeagueSevilla1–1RomaD
18 May 2023UEFA Europa LeagueSevilla2–1JuventusW
11 May 2023UEFA Europa LeagueJuventus1–1SevillaD
16 Mar 2023UEFA Europa LeagueReal Sociedad0–0RomaD
9 Mar 2023UEFA Europa LeagueRoma2–0Real SociedadL
13 Oct 2022UEFA Europa LeagueReal Betis1–1RomaD
12 Oct 2022UEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona3–3InterD
6 Oct 2022UEFA Europa LeagueRoma1–2Real BetisW
4 Oct 2022UEFA Champions LeagueInter1–0BarcelonaL

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