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team ratings from the betting market
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Who got the easy start? First five games in England, Spain and Germany

Every club's opening five league games, hardest draw at the top. Find your team, then look at who they have to play.

Premier League

First 5 gamesOpponent
avg. rating
1BournemouthMCI(A)EVE(H)NEW(A)BRE(H)LIV(H)+0.87
2SunderlandIPS(A)FUL(H)BRE(A)ARS(H)MCI(A)+0.81
3Coventry*ARS(A)HUL(H)MCI(A)BHA(H)FOR(A)+0.75
4FulhamCHE(H)SUN(A)CRY(H)LIV(A)MUN(H)+0.74
5BrightonAVL(H)CHE(A)LEE(H)COV(A)ARS(H)+0.71
6Hull*MUN(H)COV(A)AVL(H)CHE(A)NEW(A)+0.66
7IpswichSUN(H)MUN(A)LIV(H)CRY(A)EVE(A)+0.65
8TottenhamBRE(A)NEW(H)FOR(A)EVE(H)AVL(H)+0.63
9LeedsFOR(A)BRE(H)BHA(A)NEW(H)CRY(H)+0.62
10ChelseaFUL(A)BHA(H)ARS(A)HUL(H)BRE(A)+0.62
11BrentfordTOT(H)LEE(A)SUN(H)BOU(A)CHE(H)+0.61
12Aston VillaBHA(A)ARS(H)HUL(A)FOR(H)TOT(A)+0.60
13Crystal PalaceEVE(A)MCI(H)FUL(A)IPS(H)LEE(A)+0.59
14Nottingham ForestLEE(H)LIV(A)TOT(H)AVL(A)COV(H)+0.58
15ArsenalCOV(H)AVL(A)CHE(H)SUN(A)BHA(A)+0.57
16EvertonCRY(H)BOU(A)MUN(H)TOT(A)IPS(H)+0.55
17NewcastleLIV(H)TOT(A)BOU(H)LEE(A)HUL(H)+0.52
18LiverpoolNEW(A)FOR(H)IPS(A)FUL(H)BOU(A)+0.50
19Manchester CityBOU(H)CRY(A)COV(H)MUN(A)SUN(H)+0.47
20Manchester UtdHUL(A)IPS(H)EVE(A)MCI(H)FUL(A)+0.45
How strong the opponent is (Bayes FC rating)
-0.5+0.0+0.5+1.0+1.4
Premier League 2026-27, first 5 league games in order. Darker means a stronger opponent; away trips are in italics. Hover a cell for the date. Hardest opening at the top. Ratings as of 2026-08-11.

Easiest start: Manchester Utd (+0.45) — Hull away, Ipswich, Everton away. City and Liverpool are next softest, which is how it usually goes: none of the big three has to play itself.

Toughest: Bournemouth (+0.87) — Manchester City away on day one, Newcastle away, Liverpool at home, all inside five games. Sunderland are not far behind.

La Liga

First 5 gamesOpponent
avg. rating
1Rayo VallecanoSEV(A)ALA(H)BAR(A)SAN(H)RMA(A)+0.52
2Athletic BilbaoSEV(H)BAR(A)CEL(A)ATM(H)ELC(H)+0.50
3Real SociedadBET(A)RMA(A)ESP(H)ELC(A)ATM(H)+0.47
4ValenciaCEL(H)BET(H)LAC(A)BAR(H)SEV(A)+0.44
5Malaga*ATM(A)LAC(H)RMA(A)LEV(H)CEL(A)+0.43
6Real BetisRSO(H)VAL(A)LEV(A)RMA(H)VIL(A)+0.42
7ElcheLAC(A)BAR(H)SAN(A)RSO(H)ATH(A)+0.41
8EspanyolLEV(H)RMA(H)RSO(A)SEV(H)OSA(A)+0.38
9SevillaRAY(H)ATH(A)ATM(H)ESP(A)VAL(H)+0.38
10LevanteESP(A)OSA(A)BET(H)MAL(A)BAR(H)+0.32
11VillarrealSAN(A)ATM(A)ALA(A)LAC(H)BET(H)+0.27
12AlavesGET(H)RAY(A)VIL(H)OSA(H)SAN(A)+0.24
13Atletico MadridMAL(H)VIL(H)SEV(A)ATH(A)RSO(A)+0.23
14BarcelonaELC(A)ATH(H)RAY(H)VAL(A)LEV(A)+0.23
15Santander*VIL(H)GET(A)ELC(H)RAY(A)ALA(H)+0.22
16OsasunaCEL(A)LEV(H)GET(H)ALA(A)ESP(H)+0.19
17GetafeALA(A)SAN(H)OSA(A)CEL(H)LAC(H)+0.19
18Celta VigoOSA(H)VAL(A)ATH(H)GET(A)MAL(H)+0.16
19Real MadridESP(A)RSO(H)MAL(H)BET(A)RAY(H)+0.15
20La Coruna*ELC(H)MAL(A)VAL(H)VIL(A)GET(A)+0.10
How strong the opponent is (Bayes FC rating)
-0.5+0.0+0.5+1.0+1.4
La Liga 2026-27, first 5 league games in order. Darker means a stronger opponent; away trips are in italics. Hover a cell for the date. Hardest opening at the top. Ratings as of 2026-08-11.

Easiest start: La Coruña (+0.10), then Real Madrid (+0.15), whose opening five misses Barcelona and Atlético entirely.

Toughest: Rayo Vallecano (+0.52) — Barcelona away and Real Madrid away in the first five weeks.

Bundesliga

First 5 gamesOpponent
avg. rating
1StuttgartBAY(A)KOL(H)HOF(A)DOR(H)PAD(A)+0.44
2Paderborn*M05(A)SCF(H)DOR(A)HOF(H)VFB(H)+0.42
3AugsburgS04(H)SGE(A)B04(H)SVW(A)BAY(H)+0.41
4HamburgDOR(A)M05(H)RBL(A)KOL(H)HOF(A)+0.39
5Elversberg*B04(H)BMG(A)BAY(H)S04(A)UNB(A)+0.37
6Union BerlinSGE(H)B04(A)S04(H)BAY(A)ELV(H)+0.32
7Werder BremenSCF(A)RBL(H)KOL(A)AUG(H)DOR(A)+0.31
8FC KolnHOF(H)VFB(A)SVW(H)HSV(A)BMG(H)+0.23
9Schalke 04AUG(A)BAY(H)UNB(A)ELV(H)SCF(A)+0.22
10HoffenheimKOL(A)DOR(H)VFB(H)PAD(A)HSV(H)+0.20
11Ein FrankfurtUNB(A)AUG(H)M05(A)SCF(H)RBL(A)+0.19
12DortmundHSV(H)HOF(A)PAD(H)VFB(A)SVW(H)+0.17
13RB LeipzigBMG(H)SVW(A)HSV(H)B04(A)SGE(H)+0.16
14M'gladbachRBL(A)ELV(H)SCF(A)M05(H)KOL(A)+0.13
15MainzPAD(H)HSV(A)SGE(H)BMG(A)B04(H)+0.10
16LeverkusenELV(A)UNB(H)AUG(A)RBL(H)M05(A)+0.09
17Bayern MunichVFB(H)S04(A)ELV(A)UNB(H)AUG(A)+0.06
18FreiburgSVW(H)PAD(A)BMG(H)SGE(A)S04(H)+0.03
How strong the opponent is (Bayes FC rating)
-0.5+0.0+0.5+1.0+1.4
Bundesliga 2026-27, first 5 league games in order. Darker means a stronger opponent; away trips are in italics. Hover a cell for the date. Hardest opening at the top. Ratings as of 2026-08-11.

Easiest start: Freiburg (+0.03), a nose ahead of Bayern (+0.06) — the one club that never has to play Bayern.

Toughest: Stuttgart (+0.44), who open away at Bayern. Promoted Paderborn are second.

Notes

Higher is harder: the number beside each club is the average rating of its five opponents. A rating is a club's attack plus defence as the betting market prices it, so it says nothing about home advantage, fixture congestion or injuries — and five games is a small sample. Clubs marked with an asterisk have not played yet in the current window, so their rating rests on opening lines alone. How the ratings work.

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